MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 18:39:48| >> :60:291:291:
Club Libertad
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz
Athletico Paranaense

Libertad
1 - 2
Athletico PR

Cardozo (10')
Campuzano (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cardoso (52'), Santana (65')
Pablo (30'), Santana (76'), Pedrinho (80'), Heleno (87'), Christian (90+5'), Bento (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Libertad 1-2 Alianza Lima
Friday, April 21 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Club LibertadDrawAthletico Paranaense
49.33% (-0.488 -0.49) 26% (0.162 0.16) 24.67% (0.326 0.33)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.149 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.16% (-0.353 -0.35)54.84% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.86% (-0.294 -0.29)76.14% (0.29400000000001 0.29)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.361 -0.36)22.26% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.546 -0.55)55.71% (0.547 0.55)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (0.098000000000006 0.1)37.53% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (0.096 0.1)74.31% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 49.33%
    Athletico Paranaense 24.67%
    Draw 26%
Club LibertadDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 49.33%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.67%

Head to Head
Jul 6, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Libertad
1-1
Athletico PR
Santa Cruz (45+4')
Piris (82'), Barboza (89')
Cardoso (90+1')
Vinicius (42'), Roque (62'), Henrique (75'), Fernandes (90+5')
Jun 29, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Athletico PR
2-1
Libertad
Roque (6'), Hernandez (32')
Christian (26')
Villalba (20')
Barboza (72'), Campuzano (77')
May 18, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Athletico PR
2-0
Libertad
Cuello (56'), Canobbio (69')
Cuello (68'), Terans (80'), Henrique (81'), Canobbio (84')

Gomez (54'), Silva (55'), Barboza (80'), Caballero (81'), Mendieta (84')
Apr 26, 2022 11.15pm
Group Stage
Libertad
1-0
Athletico PR
Riveros (57')
Bareiro (23')

Christian (14'), Garcia (55'), Vitinho (72'), Pablo (84')
rhs 2.0
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