MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 22:04:54| >> :600:2074234:2074234:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2022 at 11pm UK
Arena da Baixada

Athletico PR
5 - 1
Caracas

Pablo (19', 22'), Christian (45+1', 71'), Rocha (75')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Rivero (58')
Suarez (55'), Notaroberto (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Athletico Paranaense and Caracas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventude 1-3 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 5-1 Caracas
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Caracas

With a place in the final 16 on the line, we predict a tight and cagey affair in Brazil that could go either way. However, Athletico Paranaense have the stronger squad on paper, and with home advantage, they should have enough to just get over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCaracas
58.46% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 23.76% (-0.181 -0.18) 17.78% (0.215 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.76% (0.873 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (0.964 0.96)53.74% (-0.964 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.806 0.81)75.22% (-0.80800000000001 -0.81)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (0.346 0.35)18.16% (-0.347 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (0.588 0.59)49.14% (-0.589 -0.59)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.91% (0.834 0.83)44.08% (-0.834 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.81% (0.674 0.67)80.19% (-0.675 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 58.44%
    Caracas 17.78%
    Draw 23.76%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCaracas
1-0 @ 13.65% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 11.64% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.091 0.09)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 58.44%
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.78%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Caracas

Athletico Paranaense
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
Caracas
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 11.15pm
Caracas
0-0
Athletico PR

Notaroberto (66')

Moura (66')
Oct 3, 2018 11.30pm
Athletico PR
2-1
Caracas
Cirino (31'), Lodi (58')
Martins (63'), Andre (76')
Garces (49')
Hernandez (28'), Martins (63'), Arrieta (78'), Garces (80'), Quijada (86'), Guerra (92')
Sep 19, 2018 11.30pm
Caracas
0-2
Athletico PR

Canelon (44'), Garces (63')
Veiga (42', 73')
Gonzalez (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
FT
Patriots
0-0
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!