MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 01:02:38| >> :600:10724898:10724898:
Corinthians
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 29, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)

Corinthians
0 - 0
Boca Juniors


Roni (45+1'), Piton (62'), Victor (68')
FT

Rojo (40'), Villa (44'), Varela (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Corinthians and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Santos
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-2 Union
Saturday, June 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Corinthians 2-1 Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors face the stern test of taking Corinthians at the Neo Quimica Arena, where the Brazilian side are unbeaten in 16 straight games. While we expect Battaglia's side to still put up a fight, we are backing the hosts to come away with a slender victory in what is expected to be a cagey contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawBoca Juniors
40.2% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 27.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 32.55% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)55.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (-0.012 -0.01)76.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)27.21% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)62.62% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (0.01100000000001 0.01)31.9% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65% (0.013999999999999 0.01)68.35% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 40.19%
    Boca Juniors 32.55%
    Draw 27.25%
CorinthiansDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.55%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Boca Juniors

Corinthians
61.1%
Draw
22.2%
Boca Juniors
16.7%
36
Head to Head
May 18, 2022 1.30am
Boca Juniors
1-1
Corinthians
Benedetto (42')
Varela (63'), Benedetto (67'), Fernandez (70')
Queiroz (16')
Jo (22'), Bambu (47'), Augusto (60'), Mantuan (65'), Gustavo (67'), Santos (90+4')
Cantillo (69'), Gustavo (71')
Apr 27, 2022 1.30am
Corinthians
2-0
Boca Juniors
Maycon (5', 78')
Fagner (32'), Augusto (33'), Queiroz (36'), Gustavo (37'), Victor (63')

Medina (37'), Benedetto (63'), Fabra (74'), Aranda (86')
rhs 2.0
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