Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Olímpico Patria
Independiente Petrolero0 - 5Palmeiras
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Petrolero and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Coritiba vs. Palmeiras
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Corinthians | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro | 10 | 3 | 16 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 14.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.7%) and 1-2 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.81%), while for a Independiente Petrolero win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Petrolero | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 14.99% | 28.13% | 56.88% |
| Both teams to score 31.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
