Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 27, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
LDU Quito3 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.85%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 41.92% | 22.51% | 35.56% |
| Both teams to score 66.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
