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Mansfield Town
League One | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Bolton logo

Mansfield
2 - 1
Bolton

McLaughlin (20'), Gregory (39')
Gregory (54'), Cargill (59'), McLaughlin (78'), Lewis (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Collins (40')
Cogley (14'), Schon (54'), Santos (72'), Williams (74'), Osei-Tutu (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Mansfield
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Lincoln
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Bolton Wanderers

Both sides will be looking to make up ground on the playoff spots by taking three points from each other this week, so expect a close-fought contest. It is difficult to see a huge margin of victory for either team given their mixed form, though Mansfield have won two of their last three and only narrowly lost on Sunday, so they may get the win to start 2025 on a positive note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawBolton Wanderers
38.79% (-0.125 -0.13) 25.28% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 35.93% (0.16399999999999 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.67% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97% (0.195 0.2)47.03% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (0.181 0.18)69.27% (-0.181 -0.18)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06% (0.021999999999991 0.02)23.93% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.84% (0.031999999999996 0.03)58.16% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.184 0.18)25.49% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (0.252 0.25)60.34% (-0.252 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 38.79%
    Bolton Wanderers 35.93%
    Draw 25.28%
Mansfield TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38.79%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.93%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Bolton

Mansfield Town
47.5%
Draw
25.4%
Bolton Wanderers
27.1%
59
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Bolton
3-1
Mansfield
Charles (75'), Adeboyejo (80'), McAtee (85')
Collins (51')
Boateng (34')
Bowery (46'), Evans (59'), Boateng (59'), Oshilaja (90+1')
Boateng (70')
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Bolton
1-1
Mansfield
(Aggregate 1-1 | Bolton win 5-4 on penalties)
Thomason (68')
Evatt (29'), Johnston (39'), McAtee (41')
Keillor-Dunn (83')
MacDonald (28'), Oshilaja (67'), Boateng (78'), Keillor-Dunn (90+3')
Feb 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 26
Mansfield
2-3
Bolton
Clarke (65'), Reid (72')
Charsley (2'), Perch (11')
John (79'), Benning (85' og.), Gnahoua (89')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 11
Bolton
1-1
Mansfield
Sarcevic (90')
Lapslie (57')
Lapslie (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport30158746291753
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
6Charlton AthleticCharlton29138838281047
7Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
8Reading29136104341245
9Leyton Orient281351040251544
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
12Stevenage28117102727040
13Blackpool2991284241139
14Mansfield TownMansfield28114133535037
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham29107123435-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
21Burton Albion30511143145-1426
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2975173049-1926
23Crawley TownCrawley2866163052-2224
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2958163051-2123


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