Palmeiras

2 - 1

Cerro Porteno

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.