MX23RW : Monday, March 10 02:50:28| >> :120:5430:5430:
Cerro Largo logo
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
2 - 2
Danubio

Affonso (20', 45+6')
Brasil (45'), Medina (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ramon Cardozo (49'), Fernandez (86' pen.)
Sanseviero (39'), Sosa (45'), Arguello (90+2'), Romero (90+4')
Velazquez (90+10')
Cerro Largo win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cerro Largo and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 3-2 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, February 22 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, February 23 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%).

Result
Cerro LargoDrawDanubio
39.69% (0.147 0.15) 28.5% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 31.8% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.75% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (0.029999999999994 0.03)60.51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (0.020999999999997 0.02)80.62% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (0.099999999999994 0.1)29.75% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.18% (0.12 0.12)65.82% (-0.122 -0.12)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.13% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)34.87% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.39% (-0.084 -0.08)71.61% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 39.68%
    Danubio 31.79%
    Draw 28.5%
Cerro LargoDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 12.57% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 39.68%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.5%
0-1 @ 10.92% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.79%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-0
Cerro Largo
Pintos (2'), Velazquez (19'), Rabino (58'), Sosa (86')
Bonifazi (11'), Alfonso (41'), Olivera (76')
Alfonso (49')
Oct 20, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Cerro Largo
0-0
Danubio
Rabino (19'), Sosa (45+1')
Fracchia (18'), Sanseviero (24'), Fratta (45+1')
Blandi (39')
Jun 9, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro Largo
2-2
Danubio
Correa (51'), Brasil (90+7')
Furtado (25'), Prado (28'), Brasil (85')
Furtado (83')
Ferreira (34'), Leyes (86' pen.)
Pintos (49'), Ferreira (57')
Silvestre (30')
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Danubio
1-1
Cerro Largo
Rossi (14')
Lewis (19'), Pintos (29'), Nunez (87')
Cosentino (51')
Estol (37'), Castillo (52')
Sep 2, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
2-0
Cerro Largo
Bueno (25', 56')
Lewis (15'), Rossi (58'), Martinicorena (76')

Furtado (31'), Gianoli (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!