Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 7, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro Largo4 - 1Progreso
Medina (7' og.), Otormin (33'), Contrera (35'), Bertochi (59' pen.)
Bertochi (45+2'), Parada (85')
Bertochi (45+2'), Parada (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Maldonado (55')
Silvera (42'), Maldonado (57')
Silvera (42'), Maldonado (57')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Progreso.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-1 Juventud
Friday, January 31 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, January 31 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 1-3 Penarol
Saturday, February 1 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, February 1 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 25.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Progreso |
45.23% ( -0.1) | 29.03% ( -0.14) | 25.73% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 41.46% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
