Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Estudiantes Merida and Metropolitanos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Metropolitanos 4-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Metropolitanos 2-2 Barcelona
Friday, May 20 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, May 20 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Lanus vs. Metropolitanos
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes Merida win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes Merida win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes Merida | Draw | Metropolitanos |
| 41.35% | 24.47% | 34.18% |
| Both teams to score 59.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
