Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 39.46%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 29.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.2%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.