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Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Coventry City

Derby
1 - 1
Coventry

Kazim-Richards (83')
Kazim-Richards (11'), Holmes (63'), Bielik (68'), Clarke (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hamer (90+1')
O'Hare (73')

Preview: Derby County vs. Coventry City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bottom-of-the-table Derby County welcome Coventry City to Pride Park on Tuesday evening sitting six points adrift of their opponents in the Championship standings.

The Sky Blues make the short trip to the East Midlands having put together a three-match unbeaten streak, their latest point being claimed at leaders Norwich City.


Match preview

Derby County's Wayne Rooney pictured in October 2020© Reuters

When Derby County held a 1-0 advantage over Wycombe Wanderers heading into the closing stages, Wayne Rooney would have been encouraged by his start to life as sole interim boss.

However, a late equaliser has left the East Midlands in last place, three points adrift of their most recent opponents and five away from safety.

Still less than a third of the way through the campaign, there is little reason for Derby to panic just yet, but Rooney needs to get three points on the board as soon as possible if he is going to be handed the managerial reins on a full-time basis.

Focus will inevitably be placed on improving a record of six goals from 14 matches, although cutting out individual mistakes in defence would also go a long way to getting the Rams up the table.

Rooney has hinted that he will remain in the dugout for the time being, but the England legend will be tempted to name himself among the substitutes if Derby cannot solve their problems in the final third.

As far as Coventry are concerned, Mark Robins will be relieved that his Coventry side are starting to turn performances into results.

The Sky Blues have not always got just reward for their displays since promotion from League One, but their recent five-point haul has given them something to work with over the coming weeks.

While many would have tipped Coventry to return home empty-handed from their trip to Norwich, Maxime Biamou came off the substitutes' bench to net his first Championship goal of the campaign.

That effort has kept things ticking over for Robins's side, and this group of players will be confident of inflicting more misery on their opponents in what is a crucial game at the lower end of the table.

Derby County Championship form: WLLDWD

Coventry City Championship form: DLLLLD


Team News

Coventry City manager Mark Robins pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Robins must decide whether to hand a recall to Biamou after the Frenchman's leveller at Carrow Road.

Tyler Walker could return on one of the flanks, while Jordan Shipley is an alternative to Ben Sheaf or Liam Kelly.

Rooney will almost certainly make a number of changes to his Derby XI in a bid to freshen up his attack.

Jason Knight, Kamil Jozwiak and Martyn Waghorn are all in contention to feature in the final third.

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Marshall; Wisdom, Davies, Clarke, Forsyth; Evans, Shinnie; Holmes, Lawrence, Jozwiak; Kazim-Richards

Coventry City possible starting lineup:
Wilson; Dabo, Ostigard, McFadzean, Hyam, Giles; O'Hare, Kelly, Sheaf, Walker; Biamou


SM words green background

We say: Derby County 1-1 Coventry City

While Derby can ill-afford many more matches without success, Rooney and co will also recognise that defeat to the Sky Blues would leave them further off the pace. Taking everything into consideration, do not be surprised to see a tentative contest played out, one which could end in a low-scoring draw.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Derby vs Coventry

Derby County
36.7%
Draw
33.3%
Coventry City
30.0%
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Coventry City manager Mark Robins pictured in October 2020
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