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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 2-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
17.54% (![]() | 20.27% (![]() | 62.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.6% (![]() | 39.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.27% (![]() | 61.73% (![]() |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% (![]() | 35.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% (![]() | 72.62% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.84% (![]() | 12.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.23% (![]() | 37.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 4.83% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.55% Total : 17.54% | 1-1 @ 9.42% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 9.93% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.68% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 34 | 25 | 63 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 55 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 54 |
4 | Notts County | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 53 |
5 | Port Vale | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 52 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 52 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 49 |
8 | Salford City | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 31 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Chesterfield | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 42 |
11 | Bromley | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
12 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 41 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 41 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 40 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 40 |
16 | MK Dons | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 39 |
17 | Swindon TownSwindon | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 38 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 37 |
19 | Gillingham | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 34 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 33 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 28 |
23 | Morecambe | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
> League Two Full Table |