MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:02:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Cheltenham Town

MK Dons
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Gilbey (22'), Harrison (75'), Maguire (86')
Thompson-Sommers (34')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Young (6'), Miller (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-2 Cheltenham Town

Both teams are in good form, and it is difficult to pick a winner based on their showings in recent weeks. It would not be surprising if MK Dons and Cheltenham each produced a number of chances over the course of the game, but ultimately shared the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
44.86% (-0.553 -0.55) 24.18% (-0.023 -0.02) 30.96% (0.578 0.58)
Both teams to score 58.98% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (0.389 0.39)43.35% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (0.38 0.38)65.75% (-0.378 -0.38)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)19.5% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (-0.127 -0.13)51.38% (0.128 0.13)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (0.56800000000001 0.57)26.73% (-0.566 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (0.743 0.74)61.99% (-0.742 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 44.86%
    Cheltenham Town 30.96%
    Draw 24.18%
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.093 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Cheltenham

MK Dons
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Cheltenham Town
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
MK Dons
2-2
Cheltenham
Eisa (45+2', 59' pen.)
Bonds (12'), May (90+7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
MK Dons
1-2
Cheltenham
Jules (43')
Oyegoke (7'), Gyamfi (17')
May (8' pen.), Brown (54')
Raglan (12'), Horton (33'), Barkers (42')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
Boyle (89')
May (72')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-1
MK Dons
Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!