We said: Carl Zeiss Jena 2-5 Bayer Leverkusen
Regardless of the changes that Leverkusen make, their squad is strong enough to overcome their fourth-tier opponents, and they should be clear favourites in Wednesday's clash.
Having said that, given Carl Zeiss Jena's good attacking displays this season so far, it would not be surprising if they created chances against the Bundesliga champions.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 11.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Carl Zeiss Jena win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
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