MX23RW : Friday, January 31 01:37:57| >> :600:5063154:5063154:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Mainz logo

Elversberg
2 - 2
Mainz 05

Schnellbacher (73', 110')
Conrad (46'), Fellhauer (86')
FT
(aet)
Burkardt (89', 116')
Niakhate (69'), Kohr (118')
Mainz win 8-7 on penalties
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Elversberg and Mainz 05.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%).

Result
ElversbergDrawMainz 05
32.68%23.27%44.06%
Both teams to score 63.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72%38.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44%60.56%
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77%23.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86%57.14%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21%17.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.49%48.51%
Score Analysis
    Elversberg 32.68%
    Mainz 05 44.06%
    Draw 23.26%
ElversbergDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.6%
1-0 @ 6.03%
2-0 @ 4.4%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 5.17%
2-3 @ 3.78%
0-3 @ 3.54%
1-4 @ 2.23%
2-4 @ 1.63%
0-4 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 44.06%

rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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