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EFL Cup
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Crystal Palace logo

Newcastle
0 - 0
Crystal Palace


Anderson (39')
FT

Milivojevic (42'), Hughes (90+2')
Newcastle win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United overcome fellow Premier League side Crystal Palace on penalties to advance to the fourth round of the EFL Cup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Newcastle
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Crystal Palace

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
53.73% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15) 23.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 22.74% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3% (0.18 0.18)46.7% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (0.17 0.17)68.96% (-0.167 -0.17)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)17.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)47.66% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.242 0.24)34.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.256 0.26)71.51% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 53.72%
    Crystal Palace 22.74%
    Draw 23.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 53.72%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 22.74%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle United
86.2%
Draw
7.6%
Crystal Palace
6.2%
145
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Newcastle
0-0
Crystal Palace

Longstaff (15'), Fraser (67')

Ward (56'), Doucoure (90+6')
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Newcastle
1-0
Crystal Palace
Almiron (32')
Almiron (33')

Gallagher (45+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')
Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')
Feb 2, 2021 8.15pm
Newcastle
1-2
Crystal Palace
Shelvey (2')
Shelvey (29')
Riedewald (21'), Cahill (25')
Clyne (51'), Milivojevic (72'), Ayew (90+3')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
Crystal Palace
0-2
Newcastle

Dann (77'), Schlupp (90+3')
Wilson (88'), Joelinton (89')
Fernandez (17'), Longstaff (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346
> Premier League Full Table


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