MX23RW : Monday, November 4 12:58:43| >> :600:143343:143343:
Tranmere Rovers
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Newcastle logo

Tranmere
1 - 2
Newcastle

Nevitt (21')
Hemmings (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lascelles (40'), Wood (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Tranmere Rovers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-4 Newcastle United

Tranmere will naturally take encouragement from Howe almost certainly making widespread changes to his starting lineup. Nevertheless, this is a united Newcastle group who will want to impress, and we are backing the Magpies to run away with this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawNewcastle United
28.53% (0.45 0.45) 24.24% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 47.23% (-0.479 -0.48)
Both teams to score 57.29% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (0.167 0.17)44.91% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (0.162 0.16)67.27% (-0.161 -0.16)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (0.40900000000001 0.41)29.15% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.92% (0.501 0.5)65.08% (-0.503 -0.5)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (-0.129 -0.13)19.14% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22% (-0.214 -0.21)50.78% (0.213 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 28.53%
    Newcastle United 47.23%
    Draw 24.24%
Tranmere RoversDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.24% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 28.53%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.105 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 47.23%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Newcastle

Tranmere Rovers
18.8%
Draw
0.0%
Newcastle United
81.3%
16
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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