We said: Manchester United 2-1 Newcastle United
This is a really, really tough game for Man United, with Newcastle impressing in the early stages of the 2022-23 campaign. The Magpies will arrive at Old Trafford full of confidence, while they will be the fresher of the two sides, but we are backing Man United to navigate their way to another victory this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.