MX23RW : Sunday, April 6 22:04:57| >> :120:7571:7571:
PSV
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
Lens logo

PSV
1 - 0
Lens

de Jong (12')
Lozano (38'), Ramalho (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Machado (42'), Danso (43'), Wahi (45+1'), Sotoca (45+1'), Gradit (52'), Medina (53'), Guilavogui (82')
Guilavogui (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 0-6 PSV
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Lens
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Lens

Expected recalls for Wahi and Thomasson in the final third should help Lens rediscover their bite in the final third, but they could certainly do with taking a leaf or two out of PSV's attacking playbook, even if Bosz's team have seen their powers wane continentally. Haise's troops have also proven time and time again that they are a force to reckon with defensively on the road, but we cannot see Les Sang et Or coming from behind to avoid defeat for a fourth time, as PSV harness their enviable firepower to blow Group B wide open. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Lens had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawLens
56.34% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 21.42% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 22.25% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.51% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.31% (0.029000000000003 0.03)37.69% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.07% (0.030999999999999 0.03)59.93% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.3% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.86% (0.035000000000004 0.04)40.14% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.2% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 56.34%
    Lens 22.25%
    Draw 21.42%
PSV EindhovenDrawLens
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 56.34%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 22.25%

How you voted: PSV vs Lens

PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Lens
PSV Eindhoven
71.7%
Draw
16.6%
Lens
11.7%
145
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Lens
1-1
PSV
Wahi (65')
Mendy (52'), Said (90+4'), Thomasson (90+4'), Abdul Samed (90+3')
Bakayoko (54')
Ramalho (30'), Boscagli (70'), Pepi (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool31227272304273
2Arsenal311711356263062
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31176851371457
4Chelsea31158854371753
5Manchester CityMan City31157957401752
6Aston Villa3114984646051
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle29155949391050
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31121184947247
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Crystal Palace30111093935443
12Brentford31126135147442
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd31108133741-438
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs311141658451337
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3195174359-1632
18Ipswich TownIpswich3148193165-3420
19Leicester CityLeicester3045212567-4217
20Southampton3124252374-5110


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!