Expected recalls for Wahi and Thomasson in the final third should help Lens rediscover their bite in the final third, but they could certainly do with taking a leaf or two out of PSV's attacking playbook, even if Bosz's team have seen their powers wane continentally.
Haise's troops have also proven time and time again that they are a force to reckon with defensively on the road, but we cannot see Les Sang et Or coming from behind to avoid defeat for a fourth time, as PSV harness their enviable firepower to blow Group B wide open.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Lens had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
