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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
59.37% | 21.35% | 19.28% |
Both teams to score 55.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5% | 41.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.1% | 63.9% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.37% | 13.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.2% | 40.8% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.8% | 35.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.05% | 71.95% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.53% 3-1 @ 6.61% 3-0 @ 6.33% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 3.29% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.21% Total : 59.37% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 5.19% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-1 @ 5.01% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |