Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for NEC had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
