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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
40.61% | 25.88% | 33.5% |
Both teams to score 54.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.96% | 50.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.98% | 72.01% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.66% | 24.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.27% | 58.73% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% | 28.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.87% | 64.12% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 20 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |