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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Volendam in this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
40.17% ( -0.57) | 24.14% ( -0.29) | 35.69% ( 0.86) |
Both teams to score 60.76% ( 1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% ( 1.53) | 41.71% ( -1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.88% ( 1.53) | 64.12% ( -1.52) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% ( 0.39) | 20.91% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.36% ( 0.6) | 53.64% ( -0.6) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.83% ( 1.18) | 23.17% ( -1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.95% ( 1.7) | 57.05% ( -1.7) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |