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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Groningen |
41.32% ( -1.22) | 24.02% ( 0.26) | 34.66% ( 0.95) |
Both teams to score 60.99% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.67% ( -1.02) | 41.32% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.28% ( -1.05) | 63.72% ( 1.04) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.78% ( -0.97) | 20.22% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.46% ( -1.57) | 52.54% ( 1.57) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.45% ( 0.05) | 23.55% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.4% ( 0.08) | 57.6% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Groningen |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.98% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 5 | 22 | 24 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
6 | Feyenoord | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
8 | Willem II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Groningen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Heracles | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 9 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
15 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
16 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 19 | -17 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |