MX23RW : Friday, October 18 02:57:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Groningen

Heerenveen
2 - 1
Groningen

Trenskow (12'), Nicolaescu (69')
Nicolaescu (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Valente (9')
Vaessen (86'), Mendes (90'), Valente (90')
Peersman (63'), Darri Willumsson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Heerenveen
Tuesday, September 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 2-2 Feyenoord
Saturday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 1-1 Groningen

Groningen have every reason to believe they can claim all three points here, but Heerenveen will surely have other ideas as they look to make home advantage count.   We can see the teams cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawGroningen
41.32% (-1.221 -1.22) 24.02% (0.263 0.26) 34.66% (0.955 0.95)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.698 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.67% (-1.024 -1.02)41.32% (1.021 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28% (-1.048 -1.05)63.72% (1.043 1.04)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.97 -0.97)20.22% (0.967 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (-1.573 -1.57)52.54% (1.57 1.57)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (0.052999999999997 0.05)23.55% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.4% (0.077000000000005 0.08)57.6% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 41.32%
    Groningen 34.66%
    Draw 24.02%
HeerenveenDrawGroningen
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-0 @ 7.61% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.08% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 41.32%
1-1 @ 11% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.217 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.155 0.16)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.325 0.33)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.242 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.66%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Groningen

Heerenveen
26.1%
Draw
34.8%
Groningen
39.1%
23
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 11.15am
Jan 22, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 17
Heerenveen
3-1
Groningen
Sarr (5', 82'), Van Amersfoort (81')
Kruger (40')
Apr 10, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 26
Heerenveen
3-1
Groningen
Van Hooijdonk (7', 53'), Van Beek (80')
Kaib (42'), Dresevic (65')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Groningen
1-1
Heerenveen
Ngonge (68')
Duarte (59'), te Wierik (70'), Buijs (90+1')
te Wierik (84')
Halilovic (19')
Madsen (45'), Halilovic (70'), Woudenberg (79'), Stevanovic (90+1')
Apr 11, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 29
Groningen
0-2
Heerenveen

te Wierik (42')
Veerman (71' pen.), Halilovic (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV88002752224
2FC UtrechtUtrecht7610148619
3AZ AlkmaarAZ85121751216
4FC Twente8422147714
5Ajax6411134913
6Feyenoord7340147713
7Go Ahead Eagles84131010013
8Willem II8323119211
9Sparta RotterdamSparta824299010
10Fortuna SittardSittard8314813-510
11Groningen8233111109
12Heracles8233713-69
13NAC BredaNAC Breda8305614-89
14PEC Zwolle8224811-38
15Heerenveen82241017-78
16NECNijmegen821579-27
17Almere CityAlmere City8026219-172
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk8008522-170


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!