MX23RW : Friday, January 17 22:41:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Heerenveen

Nijmegen
2 - 0
Heerenveen

Ogawa (67'), Rober (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-5 Nijmegen
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 Heerenveen

Both sides have had little trouble finding the back of the net of late, and we are expecting an entertaining clash. We can also see the hosts coming away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawHeerenveen
53.98% (-0.438 -0.44) 21.26% (0.146 0.15) 24.75% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 64.36% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.94% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)34.06% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.06% (-0.451 -0.45)55.94% (0.456 0.46)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)12.8% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.88% (-0.54199999999999 -0.54)39.12% (0.547 0.55)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    NEC 53.98%
    Heerenveen 24.75%
    Draw 21.26%
NECDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.75%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Heerenveen

NEC
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Heerenveen
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
1-1
Nijmegen
Walemark (6')
Kohlert (16')
Dost (45+2')
May 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
2-3
Heerenveen
Mattsson (37'), Dimata (61')
Haye (27'), Van Hooijdonk (82'), Colassin (87')
Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 13, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heerenveen
0-1
Nijmegen

Haye (53'), van Hooijdonk (77'), Dresevic (82')
Tavsan (41')
Barreto (8'), van Rooij (73'), Schone (90+7')
Nov 6, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
Nijmegen
1-1
Heerenveen
Akman (53')
Veerman (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247


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