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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for NEC had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 0-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
18.21% ( 0.01) | 19.38% ( 0.01) | 62.41% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.09% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.11% ( -0.03) | 33.89% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.26% ( -0.04) | 55.74% ( 0.04) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% ( -0.01) | 31.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.79% ( -0.01) | 68.21% ( 0.01) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.55% ( -0.01) | 10.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.94% ( -0.03) | 34.06% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 4.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 18.21% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.38% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.38% 2-3 @ 4.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.6% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.37% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.07% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 62.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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