We said: Basel 1-1 Trabzonspor
Taking a slender advantage into their midweek trip to Switzerland, we predict that Trabzonspor will take their place in the hat for the draw of the last 16 of the UEFA Europa Conference League, which is scheduled to take place in Nyon, Switzerland, on February 24.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.