We said: Basel 3-0 FK Zalgiris
FK Zalgiris have struggled for goals in the competition so far, scoring in just one of their four games which could be a problem against the current group leaders.
Basel have the chance to secure their qualification to the next round with a win in this match, and in front of their own fans that is something they will believe can happen.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.