We said: Fenerbahce 2-1 Rangers
Fenerbahce boast the highest shot conversion rate of any remaining team in the Europa League this season (16.5%), netting 14 of their 85 attempts on goal. They will back themselves to make the net ripple once again on Thursday against a Rangers side that have scored 15 of their 16 EL goals from open play - the joint-highest total in the competition this term.
Considering the contrasting form of these two sides, we are backing the high-flying hosts to get the better of a Gers outfit still getting to grips with the demands of new boss Ferguson.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 23.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.