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Brentford logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
West Ham logo

Brentford
0 - 1
West Ham


Wissa (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Benrahma (79')
Dawson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Liverpool
Monday, January 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 West Ham
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-2 West Ham United

While Brentford are classed as the clear favourites for this fixture, the prospect of changes being made should lead to a tight contest. With that in mind, we feel that the Hammers may edge this game, earning a result which could buy Moyes some time in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
31.68% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 24.39% (0.012 0.01) 43.93% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.6% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)66.39% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)61.81% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.17% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)52.46% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 31.68%
    West Ham United 43.93%
    Draw 24.39%
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.68%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 43.93%

How you voted: Brentford vs West Ham

Brentford
68.0%
Draw
11.5%
West Ham United
20.5%
122
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
West Ham
1-2
Brentford
Bowen (80')
Zouma (35'), Rice (90+2')
Mbeumo (20'), Wissa (90+4')
Norgaard (69'), Canos (84'), Jorgensen (85')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Brentford
0-1
West Ham
Benrahma (65')
Aug 29, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
West Ham
2-1
Brentford
Yarmolenko (5'), Soucek (61')
Forss (32')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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