Millwall3 - 0Dag & Red
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in National League
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We said: Millwall 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge
Although Dagenham have shown signs of improvement under their caretaker manager Young, we feel the gap between the Championship and the National League will show in this match. The visitors will give it a good go on Monday night, but we think Millwall get their first win under their new boss and book their place in the fourth round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
55.74% ( -1.04) | 24.24% ( 0.36) | 20.03% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
