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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Bromley

Newcastle
3 - 1
Bromley

Miley (16'), Gordon (49' pen.), Osula (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Newcastle United and Bromley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 7 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crewe 4-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newcastle United 3-0 Bromley

Battering teams in the Premier League, Newcastle should have no issues in putting fourth-tier Bromley to the sword at St James' Park this weekend. The Magpies have an array of talent in reserve should they rotate their XI, meaning that there is little hope for the Ravens of a historic upset in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Bromley had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Bromley win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBromley
71.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 16.27% (-0.111 -0.11) 12.25% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.37% (1.009 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.38% (1.007 1.01)31.62% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.88% (1.173 1.17)53.12% (-1.172 -1.17)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.2% (0.239 0.24)7.79% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.31% (0.60299999999999 0.6)27.68% (-0.602 -0.6)
Bromley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.935 0.94)37.78% (-0.933 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (0.899 0.9)74.55% (-0.898 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 71.48%
    Bromley 12.25%
    Draw 16.27%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBromley
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.16% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.94% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.327 -0.33)
4-0 @ 5.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.122 0.12)
5-0 @ 2.66% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.59% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.105 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.26% (0.068 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.1% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 71.48%
1-1 @ 7.31% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.27%
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 12.25%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bromley

Newcastle United
100%
Bromley
0.0%
9
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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