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Newcastle logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Bromley

Newcastle
3 - 1
Bromley

Miley (16'), Gordon (49' pen.), Osula (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Newcastle United and Bromley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 7 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crewe 4-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newcastle United 3-0 Bromley

Battering teams in the Premier League, Newcastle should have no issues in putting fourth-tier Bromley to the sword at St James' Park this weekend. The Magpies have an array of talent in reserve should they rotate their XI, meaning that there is little hope for the Ravens of a historic upset in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Bromley had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Bromley win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBromley
71.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 16.27% (-0.111 -0.11) 12.25% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.37% (1.009 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.38% (1.007 1.01)31.62% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.88% (1.173 1.17)53.12% (-1.172 -1.17)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.2% (0.239 0.24)7.79% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.31% (0.60299999999999 0.6)27.68% (-0.602 -0.6)
Bromley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.935 0.94)37.78% (-0.933 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (0.899 0.9)74.55% (-0.898 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 71.48%
    Bromley 12.25%
    Draw 16.27%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBromley
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.16% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.94% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.327 -0.33)
4-0 @ 5.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.122 0.12)
5-0 @ 2.66% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.59% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.105 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.26% (0.068 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.1% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 71.48%
1-1 @ 7.31% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.27%
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 12.25%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bromley

Newcastle United
100%
Bromley
0.0%
9
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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