Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 25.75% and a draw has a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.61%).
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Aston Villa |
51.27% ( -0.29) | 22.99% ( 0.07) | 25.75% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 59.2% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.68% ( -0.09) | 41.32% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.28% ( -0.09) | 63.72% ( 0.1) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.77% ( -0.14) | 16.23% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.26% ( -0.25) | 45.74% ( 0.25) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.66% ( 0.13) | 29.34% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.69% ( 0.16) | 65.31% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 25.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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