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FA Cup
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 4
Harborough Town

Shields (90+5')
Adigun (27'), Fielding (44'), Vincent (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Malone (41'), Stephens (60', 72'), Forbes (87')
Kennedy (3'), Austin (4'), Starkie (30'), Cooper (77'), Forbes (88'), Forbes (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Tonbridge Angels and Harborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South

Harborough Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Harborough Town 1-0 Bury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Harborough Town had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Harborough Town win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHarborough Town
42.82% (5.01 5.01) 24.09% (-0.973 -0.97) 33.09% (-4.038 -4.04)
Both teams to score 60.26% (2.725 2.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (3.865 3.87)42.08% (-3.866 -3.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (3.77 3.77)64.48% (-3.771 -3.77)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (4.101 4.1)19.86% (-4.101 -4.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (6.231 6.23)51.97% (-6.233 -6.23)
Harborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-0.473 -0.47)24.8% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (-0.66 -0.66)59.38% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 42.82%
    Harborough Town 33.09%
    Draw 24.09%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHarborough Town
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.562 0.56)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.485 0.48)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.829 0.83)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.634 0.63)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.54 0.54)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.523 0.52)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.389 0.39)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.351 0.35)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.67 -0.67)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.312 0.31)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.904 -0.9)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.582 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-1.373 -1.37)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-1.036 -1.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.519 -0.52)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.09%

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