MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 15:19:45| >> :600:731544:731544:
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 4
Harborough Town

Shields (90+5')
Adigun (27'), Fielding (44'), Vincent (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Malone (41'), Stephens (60', 72'), Forbes (87')
Kennedy (3'), Austin (4'), Starkie (30'), Cooper (77'), Forbes (88'), Forbes (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Tonbridge Angels and Harborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Harborough Town 1-0 Bury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Harborough Town had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Harborough Town win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHarborough Town
42.82% (5.01 5.01) 24.09% (-0.973 -0.97) 33.09% (-4.038 -4.04)
Both teams to score 60.26% (2.725 2.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (3.865 3.87)42.08% (-3.866 -3.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (3.77 3.77)64.48% (-3.771 -3.77)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (4.101 4.1)19.86% (-4.101 -4.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (6.231 6.23)51.97% (-6.233 -6.23)
Harborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-0.473 -0.47)24.8% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (-0.66 -0.66)59.38% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 42.82%
    Harborough Town 33.09%
    Draw 24.09%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHarborough Town
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.562 0.56)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.485 0.48)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.829 0.83)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.634 0.63)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.54 0.54)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.523 0.52)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.389 0.39)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.351 0.35)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.67 -0.67)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.312 0.31)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.904 -0.9)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.582 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-1.373 -1.37)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-1.036 -1.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.519 -0.52)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.09%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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