Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.