J1 League | Gameweek 30
Oct 21, 2023 at 6am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium
Gamba Osaka0 - 1Nagoya Grampus
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Sunday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 30 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, September 30 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
36
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
Result | ||
Gamba Osaka | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
33.92% ( 0.07) | 27.78% ( -0.13) | 38.31% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.31% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.46% ( 0.48) | 57.54% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.68% ( 0.38) | 78.33% ( -0.38) |
Gamba Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.15% ( 0.29) | 31.85% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.71% ( 0.33) | 68.29% ( -0.33) |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.9% ( 0.27) | 29.11% ( -0.27) |