J1 League | Gameweek 24
Aug 19, 2023 at 11am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium
Gamba Osaka2 - 1Shonan Bellmare
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Shonan Bellmare.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 12 at 11.30am in J1 League
Saturday, August 12 at 11.30am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 12 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, August 12 at 10am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
Result | ||
Gamba Osaka | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
44.79% ( 0.21) | 25.58% ( -0.06) | 29.64% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.57% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.89% ( 0.18) | 50.11% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.92% ( 0.16) | 72.08% ( -0.16) |
Gamba Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( 0.18) | 22.33% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.19% ( 0.26) | 55.81% ( -0.26) |
Shonan Bellmare Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.98% ( -0.02) | 31.02% ( 0.02) |