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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
0 - 1
Hiroshima

FT(HT: 0-0)
Sasaki (78')
Vieira (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-4 Brighton
Sunday, July 28 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-5 Stuttgart
Thursday, August 1 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

While Tokyo Verdy have had a solid season upon their return to the top flight, they have struggled against the bigger teams in the league and have already lost twice to their upcoming opponents this term. Sanfrecce have only lost one match on the road all season and they will know that they need to keep winning games to remain within touching distance of the top three. We feel the visitors will manage to secure the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.56%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
16.04% (0.0040000000000013 0) 21.59% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 62.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)47.93% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)70.11% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)42.83% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.86% (-0.012 -0.01)79.14% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)14.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.93% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)43.07% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 16.04%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62.36%
    Draw 21.59%
Tokyo VerdyDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 4.35%
2-0 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.23%
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 16.04%
1-1 @ 10.26%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.59%
0-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.56%
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 7.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 6.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 62.36%

How you voted: Tokyo Verdy vs Hiroshima

Tokyo Verdy
38.5%
Draw
0.0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 18
Hiroshima
4-1
Tokyo Verdy
Kato (2'), Soteriou (47', 62'), Vieira (81')
Sasaki (32'), Nakano (34')
Kimura (90+4')
Miki (22'), Yamada (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima291510453282555
2Machida Zelvia29167643222155
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe29157745271852
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers28146844341048
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka28139632221048
6Yokohama F MarinosYokohama28125114842641
7Tokyo Verdy29101183741-441
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo2891183537-238
9Avispa Fukuoka2991192830-238
10FC Tokyo29108113741-438
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus28114133234-237
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa279994237536
13Albirex Niigata2899103739-236
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki28810104240234
15Kyoto Sanga2897123345-1234
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol2889113442-833
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2988133943-432
18Jubilo Iwata2877143449-1528
19Consadole SapporoConsadole2967163455-2125
20Sagan Tosu2973193657-2124


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