MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 23:43:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 10.30am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
1 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka

Ohashi (60')
Higashi (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matsuoka (36'), Miya (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 1-3 Vissel Kobe
Friday, July 5 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka

Following a morale-boosting win in the cup, Sanfrecce should be confident of repeating the trick this weekend, despite facing a step-up in quality. Avispa will be happy to be on the road after back-to-back home defeats, but we do not believe that things will get immediately better for the visitors on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
59.58% (0.109 0.11) 23.43% (-0.023 -0.02) 16.99% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)
Both teams to score 45.28% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.39% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)53.6% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.1% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.025000000000006 0.03)17.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.046999999999997 0.05)48.36% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.02% (-0.128 -0.13)44.97% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (-0.103 -0.1)80.91% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.57%
    Avispa Fukuoka 16.99%
    Draw 23.42%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 59.57%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 16.99%

How you voted: Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
100%
Draw
0.0%
Avispa Fukuoka
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 6am
Gameweek 8
Avispa Fukuoka
1-1
Hiroshima
Zahedi (22')
Iwasaki (30'), Tashiro (55'), Zahedi (61'), Grolli (64'), Maejima (74'), Wellington (84')
Sasaki (25')
Sasaki (58'), Kawamura (67')
Dec 3, 2023 5am
Gameweek 34
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1
Hiroshima

Miya (57')
Araki (90+6')
Nakano (28')
May 7, 2023 5am
Jun 25, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 18
Avispa Fukuoka
1-3
Hiroshima
Watari (37')
Grolli (67')
Mitsuta (28'), Vieira (77', 86')
Ben Khalifa (45'), Notsuda (68')
Apr 10, 2022 6am
Gameweek 8
Hiroshima
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Shibasaki (90+4')
Araki (56'), Santos (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima291510453282555
2Machida Zelvia29167643222155
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe29157745271852
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers28146844341048
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka28139632221048
6Yokohama F MarinosYokohama28125114842641
7Tokyo Verdy29101183741-441
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo2891183537-238
9Avispa Fukuoka2991192830-238
10FC Tokyo29108113741-438
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus28114133234-237
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa279994237536
13Albirex Niigata2899103739-236
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki28810104240234
15Kyoto Sanga2897123345-1234
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol2889113442-833
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2988133943-432
18Jubilo Iwata2877143449-1528
19Consadole SapporoConsadole2967163455-2125
20Sagan Tosu2973193657-2124


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