MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 06:43:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 10.30am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
1 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka

Ohashi (60')
Higashi (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matsuoka (36'), Miya (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 1-3 Vissel Kobe
Friday, July 5 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka

Following a morale-boosting win in the cup, Sanfrecce should be confident of repeating the trick this weekend, despite facing a step-up in quality. Avispa will be happy to be on the road after back-to-back home defeats, but we do not believe that things will get immediately better for the visitors on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
59.58% (0.109 0.11) 23.43% (-0.023 -0.02) 16.99% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)
Both teams to score 45.28% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.39% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)53.6% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.1% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.025000000000006 0.03)17.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.046999999999997 0.05)48.36% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.02% (-0.128 -0.13)44.97% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (-0.103 -0.1)80.91% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.57%
    Avispa Fukuoka 16.99%
    Draw 23.42%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 59.57%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 16.99%

How you voted: Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
100%
Draw
0.0%
Avispa Fukuoka
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 6am
Gameweek 8
Avispa Fukuoka
1-1
Hiroshima
Zahedi (22')
Iwasaki (30'), Tashiro (55'), Zahedi (61'), Grolli (64'), Maejima (74'), Wellington (84')
Sasaki (25')
Sasaki (58'), Kawamura (67')
Dec 3, 2023 5am
Gameweek 34
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1
Hiroshima

Miya (57')
Araki (90+6')
Nakano (28')
May 7, 2023 5am
Jun 25, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 18
Avispa Fukuoka
1-3
Hiroshima
Watari (37')
Grolli (67')
Mitsuta (28'), Vieira (77', 86')
Ben Khalifa (45'), Notsuda (68')
Apr 10, 2022 6am
Gameweek 8
Hiroshima
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Shibasaki (90+4')
Araki (56'), Santos (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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