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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
0 - 1
Hiroshima


Hosoya (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vieira (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Reysol
Sunday, June 16 at 10am in J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: Yokohama 3-2 Hiroshima
Wednesday, June 19 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

 Considering that Reysol have struggled for form recently and have lost their last three league fixtures, it is fair to say they could struggle on Saturday. Although opponents Hiroshima did lose last time out, they have still scored 15 goals in their last five league games and could prove to be too strong for their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
30.04% (3.764 3.76) 26.51% (0.26 0.26) 43.46% (-4.019 -4.02)
Both teams to score 50.89% (1.653 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (0.97 0.97)53.68% (-0.966 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (0.81 0.81)75.17% (-0.806 -0.81)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (3.462 3.46)32.57% (-3.457 -3.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (3.704 3.7)69.11% (-3.7 -3.7)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (-1.498 -1.5)24.52% (1.502 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (-2.154 -2.15)58.99% (2.16 2.16)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 30.04%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.45%
    Draw 26.5%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.493 0.49)
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.716 0.72)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.703 0.7)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.481 0.48)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.409 0.41)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.27 0.27)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.04%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.99% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.302 0.3)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 11.22% (-0.96 -0.96)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.282 -0.28)
0-2 @ 7.89% (-1.057 -1.06)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.324 -0.32)
0-3 @ 3.7% (-0.683 -0.68)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.309 -0.31)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.45%

How you voted: Reysol vs Hiroshima

Kashiwa Reysol
0.0%
Draw
33.3%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 11am
Gameweek 25
Reysol
0-0
Hiroshima
Hosoya (47'), Takamine (55')
Mar 19, 2023 5am
Gameweek 5
Hiroshima
1-0
Reysol
Shiotani (81')
Aug 14, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 25
Reysol
2-3
Hiroshima
Muto (41'), Araki (48' og.)
Takahashi (13'), Mihara (86'), Kamijima (87')
Ben Khalifa (4'), Matsumoto (61'), Fujii (67')
Sasaki (77')
May 3, 2022 6am
Gameweek 11
Hiroshima
1-2
Reysol
Shiihashi (27')
Sep 18, 2021 10am
Gameweek 29
Reysol
0-3
Hiroshima

Richardson (52')
Vieira (31', 54', 60')
Araki (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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