Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Mallorca |
36.13% ( -0.01) | 26.55% ( -0.19) | 37.32% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.38% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.47% ( 0.8) | 52.53% ( -0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.81% ( 0.68) | 74.19% ( -0.67) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( 0.38) | 27.97% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.39% ( 0.48) | 63.61% ( -0.47) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.72% ( 0.5) | 27.28% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.28% ( 0.64) | 62.72% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.13% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |