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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Sevilla logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Sevilla


Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla

This is a very tough match for Sevilla off the back of a European fixture, and we are struggling to back the visitors to triumph this weekend. Athletic have drawn nine of their 16 league matches this season, losing just three times, and we are predicting another stalemate for the Basque outfit here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
27.07%27.45%45.48%
Both teams to score 46.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.45%58.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.88%79.12%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5%37.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72%74.27%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3%25.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38%60.61%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 27.07%
    Sevilla 45.48%
    Draw 27.45%
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 6.3%
2-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 13.09%
0-2 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-3 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.37%
1-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.48%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic Bilbao
26.6%
Draw
27.5%
Sevilla
45.9%
109
Head to Head
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
Jul 9, 2020 9pm
Jan 3, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 19
Sevilla
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Nunez (60' og.)
Carrico (31'), Ocampos (77')
Capa (15')
Capa (71'), Lopez (84'), Nunez (85'), Martinez (87')
May 18, 2019 3.15pm
Sevilla
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Ben Yedder (44'), El Haddadi (90')
Rog (36'), Gnagnon (60'), Navas (60'), Mercado (65')

Garcia (19'), Garcia (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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