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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 24, 2021 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Valencia logo

Atletico
3 - 1
Valencia

Felix (23'), Suarez (54'), Correa (72')
Vrsaljko (30'), Savic (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Racic (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawValencia
51.68%24.75%23.56%
Both teams to score 51.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06%50.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19%72.81%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3%19.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3%51.7%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.63%36.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84%73.15%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 51.67%
    Valencia 23.56%
    Draw 24.75%
Atletico MadridDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.63%
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 9.46%
3-1 @ 5.18%
3-0 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.25%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 23.56%

How you voted: Atletico vs Valencia

Atletico Madrid
80.0%
Draw
11.3%
Valencia
8.8%
160
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2020 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Valencia
0-1
Atletico

Racic (28'), Guillamon (57')
Lato (79' og.)
Niguez (43'), Correa (62'), Llorente (76'), Felix (81'), Koke (83')
Feb 14, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 24
Valencia
2-2
Atletico
Paulista (40'), Kondogbia (59')
Paulista (55'), Mangala (67'), Gomez (79')
Llorente (15'), Partey (43')
Lodi (26'), Vrsaljko (58'), Poveda (71')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Apr 24, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Atletico
3-2
Valencia
Morata (9'), Griezmann (49'), Correa (81')
Morata (47'), Luis (56'), Niguez (76')
Gameiro (36'), Parejo (77' pen.)
Soler (22'), Sobrino (73'), Diakhaby (90')
Aug 20, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 1
Valencia
1-1
Atletico
Rodrigo (56')
Garay (45'), Rodrigo (70')
Correa (26')
Savic (13'), Juanfran (52'), Luis (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
13Sevilla186482027-722
14Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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