Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Espanyol |
47.95% ( -0.03) | 26.62% ( -0) | 25.42% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.47% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.4% ( 0.03) | 56.59% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.43% ( 0.02) | 77.57% ( -0.02) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( -0) | 23.64% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% ( -0) | 57.73% ( 0) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.17% ( 0.04) | 37.83% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.4% ( 0.04) | 74.6% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.95% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 25.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |