Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 35.06%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (12.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Espanyol |
35.06% ( -0.14) | 30.03% ( 0.32) | 34.91% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 42.07% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.81% ( -1.01) | 65.18% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.98% ( -0.72) | 84.02% ( 0.72) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.91% ( -0.64) | 35.08% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.17% ( -0.67) | 71.83% ( 0.67) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.81% ( -0.67) | 35.19% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.05% ( -0.71) | 71.94% ( 0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.16% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.02% | 0-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.14% Total : 34.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |