Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Alaves |
37.46% | 28.38% ( -0.02) | 34.16% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.57% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.28% ( 0.08) | 59.72% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.97% ( 0.06) | 80.03% ( -0.06) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.31% ( 0.04) | 30.69% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.05% ( 0.05) | 66.95% ( -0.05) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.19% ( 0.06) | 32.81% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% ( 0.07) | 69.38% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.45% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |