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Cadiz logo
Celta Vigo logo
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Girona logo
Granada logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Rayo Vallecano logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Gorosabel (44')
Abqar (28'), Blanco (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Isi (13'), Espino (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Alaves
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

It is difficult to back either side with any real confidence at the moment, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday. Alaves have drawn eight times in the league this season, while Rayo have shared the points on 11 occasions, and we are predicting 1-1 this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawRayo Vallecano
45.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 28.58% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 25.74% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 42.58% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.02% (-0.31 -0.31)62.98% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.54% (-0.225 -0.22)82.45% (0.22699999999999 0.23)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.163 -0.16)27.66% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.79% (-0.212 -0.21)63.21% (0.214 0.21)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.87% (-0.228 -0.23)41.13% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33% (-0.201 -0.2)77.67% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 45.67%
    Rayo Vallecano 25.74%
    Draw 28.57%
AlavesDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.62% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.37% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 25.74%

How you voted: Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

Alaves
49.1%
Draw
36.4%
Rayo Vallecano
14.5%
55
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Alaves
Isi (43' pen.), De Frutos (82')
Hernandez (19'), de Tomas (90+5')

Duarte (23'), Garcia (24'), Sola (41'), Hagi (90+6')
Apr 16, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 32
Alaves
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Joselu (64')
Escalante (45+3'), Duarte (90+9')

Nteka (55'), Maras (90+3'), Isi (90+8')
Balliu (88')
Dec 18, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 18
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Alaves
Guardiola (19'), Catena (26')
Trejo (10')

Duarte (24'), Tachi (70')
Jan 28, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 21
Alaves
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Maripan (57'), Pacheco (84')
De Tomas (47')
Moreno (69'), Imbula (84'), Comesana (85'), Medran (89'), Bebe (90')
Sep 22, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
1-5
Alaves
De Tomas (30')
Imbula (90')
Ba (35')
Navarro (8'), Gomez (34', 77'), Calleri (56'), Burgui (90')
Duarte (23'), Aguirregabiria (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid31246167204778
2Barcelona31217362342870
3GironaGirona31205663392465
4Atletico MadridAtletico31194859362361
5Athletic Bilbao31169651292257
6Real Sociedad311311745331250
7Valencia31138103432247
8Real BetisBetis31111283837145
9Villarreal31109124954-539
10Getafe31912103743-639
11Osasuna31116143644-839
12Las PalmasLas Palmas31107142935-637
13Sevilla31810133944-534
14AlavesAlaves3188152638-1232
15Mallorca31613122536-1131
16Rayo Vallecano31613122538-1331
17Celta Vigo31610153346-1328
18CadizCadiz31413142141-2025
19Granada3138203260-2817
20Almeria31111193062-3214


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