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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Alaves logo

Osasuna
1 - 0
Alaves

Budimir (76')
Torro (16'), Herrando (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vicente (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Alaves

Both teams are set to be missing some important players on Monday through injury, but we are still expecting it to be a tight match between two sides in good form. Osasuna have home advantage, but Alaves are not losing many at the moment, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.91%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawAlaves
42.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 29.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 27.35% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 40.79% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.6% (-0.016 -0.02)84.4% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)30.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)66.73% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 42.91%
    Alaves 27.35%
    Draw 29.72%
OsasunaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.95%
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.72%
0-1 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Alaves

Osasuna
59.3%
Draw
31.1%
Alaves
9.6%
135
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Alaves
0-2
Osasuna

Guevara (64'), Omorodion (65'), Garcia (85')
Blanco (49')
Arnaiz (36'), Budimir (90')
Pena (42'), Cruz (55'), Herrera (71')
Apr 10, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 31
Osasuna
1-0
Alaves
Budimir (90+2')
Vidal (9'), Budimir (29'), Torro (45+3')

N'Diaye (15')
Sep 18, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Alaves
0-2
Osasuna

Laguardia (13'), Moya (28'), Duarte (29'), Navarro (70')
Garcia (22'), Torres (29' pen.)
Torres (31'), Torro (73'), Sanchez (82')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Alaves
0-1
Osasuna

Pina (44'), Laguardia (68'), Perez (82')
Barja (77')
Garcia (30'), Vidal (40'), Garcia (65'), Cruz (73')
Dec 31, 2020 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Osasuna
1-1
Alaves
Torres (68')
Calleri (41'), Herrera (64'), Sanjurjo (73')
Ruben (8')
Perez (75' pen.)
Pina (37'), Deyverson (40'), Lejeune (55'), Jota (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid32256170224881
2Barcelona32217464372770
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico32194959382161
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad321312746341251
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal32119125155-442
10Getafe32913103844-640
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Sevilla32910134145-437
13Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
14AlavesAlaves3298152838-1035
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca32613132638-1231
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria32111203164-3314


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