La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 9, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Real Sociedad2 - 1Espanyol
We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol
Real Sociedad have won each of their last four home league games against Espanyol, and we are backing a narrow success for the Basque outfit this weekend, but it would not be a surprise to see the points shared. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol |
51.88% ( 0.07) | 26.04% ( -0.15) | 22.08% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.74% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
